I wonder if you have an estimate of how far tactical considerations are suppressing Green voting intention polling, and whether overtaking Labour in preferential polling could give them hope they can flip tactical voting to favour the Greens instead.
If no-one gets 40% min it should be considered hung and you have to form a coalition. We can't have this ridiculous situation where 30% of the population tells 70% what to do
Very surprising to see the Tories above Labour after the sentiment towards them before the last General Election. It really shows the public perception of Labours first two years in power. There’s a real test in May for Labour and this doesn’t bode well. There’s other question is really whether Reform and the Greens have hit their ceilings, or whether one or the other can capitalise further on the fall of the main two. Of course, Labour could change their fortunes slightly with Burnham, but these polls don’t suggest any real avenue of success being open to Labour.
It is clear that stabbing Boris in the back and letting the tory left out him, (Tories still led polls) was a catastrophic piece of self harm that may actually kill the Conservatives for decades.
Do your polls weight on the basis of previous election results?
I wonder if you have an estimate of how far tactical considerations are suppressing Green voting intention polling, and whether overtaking Labour in preferential polling could give them hope they can flip tactical voting to favour the Greens instead.
https://open.substack.com/pub/ewanhoyle/p/green-party-supporters-are-too-clever?utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web
If no-one gets 40% min it should be considered hung and you have to form a coalition. We can't have this ridiculous situation where 30% of the population tells 70% what to do
Very surprising to see the Tories above Labour after the sentiment towards them before the last General Election. It really shows the public perception of Labours first two years in power. There’s a real test in May for Labour and this doesn’t bode well. There’s other question is really whether Reform and the Greens have hit their ceilings, or whether one or the other can capitalise further on the fall of the main two. Of course, Labour could change their fortunes slightly with Burnham, but these polls don’t suggest any real avenue of success being open to Labour.
Is the poll tracker for Scotland for UK Parliament or for Scottish Parliament? Presumably the former?
It is clear that stabbing Boris in the back and letting the tory left out him, (Tories still led polls) was a catastrophic piece of self harm that may actually kill the Conservatives for decades.
And remember, every time, right wing will be overinflated, left wing will be under represented.
I have always found polls underestimate voters who lean to right.
Clown
Kinda proving their point there
Kinda proving their point there
Kinda proving their point there
Not even the cheating, lying pollsters because nobody trusts them?