Who's ahead in the polls?
The latest from the Britain Elects Poll Tracker - updated daily
The polls - the horse-racing spectator sport of British politics. Who’s ahead? How close? Who’s rising, falling? The surveys churned out every week without fail by more than a few pollsters tell us how Britons (say they) would vote if a General Election was held today.
This is the page for where the parties stand both across Great Britain and in Scotland and Wales.
This page is brought to you by the Britain Elects Poll Tracker, which takes all public polls and builds a representative model to cut through the noise and tell you who’s really ahead. It will be updated daily and is free to access.
This poll tracker is not without its limitations. Poll aggregation is only as good as the sum of its parts - the polls. If there is a uniform under or over sampling of a certain strata of society, inaccuracy come the next General Election will be inevitable. Where we notice it in advance we will examine, commentate, and - if needed - consider publishing alternative, adjusted figures of what the polls are saying.
There is, regardless, no better way to sampling the polls than sampling all of them.
Only pollsters who are members of the British Polling Council - in that we can at least guarantee reliable access to the back-end data tables - appear in the poll tracker.
Pollsters who do not freely publish the data-tables or question wording do not feature in our trackers.
This poll tracker provides breakdowns for both Scotland and Wales, and near election season will do likewise for London in the event of a mayoral election.
Free use
The poll tracker data is available here.
Newsrooms, lecture halls and all other commercial actors can make use of the poll tracker in their publications and visualisations. Be sure to cite Britain Elects.
This page is LIVE, and updates when the Britain Elects Poll Tracker is updated.



Do your polls weight on the basis of previous election results?
I wonder if you have an estimate of how far tactical considerations are suppressing Green voting intention polling, and whether overtaking Labour in preferential polling could give them hope they can flip tactical voting to favour the Greens instead.
https://open.substack.com/pub/ewanhoyle/p/green-party-supporters-are-too-clever?utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web